17 FIGURE 2.10 Tropical cyclone projection for Western North Pacific 2 Climate Science – “Our climate is our future” FIGURE 2.11 Projection of annual maximum temperature for Hong Kong relative to the average of 1995-2014 under the Intermediate and Very High GHG emissions scenarios considered by IPCC AR6 FIGURE 2.12 Projection of annual number of hot nights, very hot days and cold days for Hong Kong under the Intermediate and Very High GHG emissions scenarios considered by IPCC AR6 160 120 80 40 0 160 120 80 40 0 1995-2014 (observed) 2041-2060 2081-2100 1995-2014 (obser ) 2041-2060 2081-2100 SSP2-4.5 Intermediate greenhouse gas emissions scenario SSP5-8.5 Very high greenhouse gas emissions scenario Annual number of hot nights Annual number of very hot days Annual number of cold days Annual number of hot nights Annual number of very hot days Annual number of cold days 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 20212040 20312050 20412060 20512070 20612080 20712090 20812100 20212040 20312050 20412060 20512070 20612080 20712090 20812100 Intermediate greenhouse gas emissions scenario Very high greenhouse gas emissions scenario 95th percentile 5th percentile Change in ºC Change in ºC TC Intensity 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 Proportion of very intense TC TC Precipitation 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Max = 346.6% Maximum 90th percentile Mean median 75th percentile 25th percentile 10th percentile Minimum Change in % Change in % Change in %
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