Page 5 - HKUST IEMS Spring 2018 Newsletter
P. 5

BALANCING DEVELOPMENT AND THE ENVIRONMENT

From the 1980s to 2015, China’s national expressway network                   pollution levels. Finally, large infrastructure projects or policies
expanded from being non-exsitent to more than 111,000                         which transfer technology can be used to develop poorer regions
kilometres, becoming the world’s largest expressway system by                 faster, thus limiting the environmental impact of development.
length. Now, more than half of Chinese counties are connected to              Otherwise, increases in productivity can degrade environmental
the system, transforming both less- and more-developed counties.              quality, at least in the initial stages of economic development.
This transformation is not uniform throughout the country, even
though the expressway network was originally conceived of and                                                             Meanwhile, Susmita Dasgupta
implemented as a unified, economic policy that would benefit all.                                                         (World Bank) presented research
                                                                                                                          on the development and
                                           In his academic seminar,                                                       application of location specific
                                           Guojun He (HKUST) argues that                                                  biodiversity indicators to identify
                                           blanket policies risk unintended                                               areas with critical biodiversity
                                           consequences, and it is important                                              in the moist tropical forests of
                                           to ask not only how such                                                       Bolivia, Cameroon and Myanmar.
                                           policies affected the country—                                                 Whilst development and
                                           at both the county and national                                                improvement of infrastructure,
                                           levels— but also to understand                                                 especially roads, is essential
                                           the channels through which it      for rural development, it also leads to leads to destruction of
                                           did so. How does an economy        forests and habitats of biodiversity. This is further exacerbated by
                                           rebalance economic production      insufficient information on location specific biodiversity which lends
and environmental preservation when its ability to generate income            itself to development for economic gain in the face of inadequate
using environmental resources changes? Theoretically, we predict              information on environmental impact. Dasgupta was able to
that an increase in the ability can have heterogeneous impacts on the         develop a methodology by which policymakers would be able to
economy’s environmental quality and income. Empirically, we find that         assess potential economic gains as well as potential biodiversity
the dramatic expansion of China’s national expressway system, which           loss for infrastructure development or infrastructure improvement.
arguably enhanced the income-generating abilities of Chinese counties,
indeed affects their economic and environmental performances                  Dasgupta's findings emphasize that the extent of forest clearing is
differentially: expressway access increases pollution and GDP in initially    highly responsive to the distance to the nearest urban market. This
poor counties, reduces pollution and GDP in initially rich counties,          responsiveness is lower for primary road links, because their higher
and reduces pollution while increasing GDP in counties with middling          average vehicle speeds and lower maintenance costs reduce the effect
income levels.                                                                of distance to market. Using the estimated forest clearing response
                                                                              elasticities and a composite biodiversity indicator, this research computes
                                                                              an index of expected biodiversity loss from upgrading secondary roads
                                                                              to primary road status. The results identify areas in Bolivia, Cameroon
                                                                              and Myanmar where high expected biodiversity losses may warrant
                                                                              additional protection as road upgrading continues. In addition, they
                                                                              provide ecological risk ratings for individual road corridors that can
                                                                              inform environmentally-sensitive infrastructure investment programs.

                                                                              As road upgrading will inevitably accompany rural development
                                                                              programs in many countries, the methodology developed
                                                                              by Susmita Dasgupta has the potential for more widespread
                                                                              application in all moist tropical forest countries.

In response, policy-makers should tailor their solutions depending            Academic Seminar, “Balancing Development
on the development level of specific regions. Productivity-                   and the Environment in a Changing World:
enhancing policies can cause different effects in different regions,          Expressways, GDP, and Pollution in China”
as they choose different development strategies. The desired                  by Guojun He (HKUST) on 2017.11.25
emission-income combination may depend on a region’s initial                  More information available at
income or environmental quality. In this context, a single, unified           http://iems.ust.hk/guodao
economic or environmental policy can cause welfare losses.
Secondly, not only can redistributive policies tackle income                  Academic Seminar, “Minimizing Ecological
inequality issues in China, but they can also address increasingly            Damage from Road Improvement in
political environmental issues by incentivizing regions to reduce             Tropical Forests” co-organized with HKUST
                                                                              Institute for Public Policy (IPP) by Susmita
                                                                              Dasgupta (World Bank) on 2017.11.23
                                                                              Video available at http://iems.ust.hk/forests

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